Monday, April 12, 2004

9-11 Commission gets First Taste of Rice
Kerry: “Needs More Truth”
NEWS ANALYSIS by Konstantin Medvedovsky
 

After weeks of prodding, National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice gave testimony last Thursday before an independent commission investigating the terrorist attacks of 2001. Under harsh questioning, she testified that the president was warned a month in advance that the F.B.I had evidence that terrorists were planning a domestic hijacking. She further elaborated that as result of the information, 70 investigations were underway of terrorist cells possibly connected with Al Qaeda.

She went on to detail the level of specifics that the administration was privy to in advance of September 11th, going so far as to acknowledge that the president was presented with a special intelligence briefing titled “Bin Laden Determined to Attack Inside the United States.” Dr. Rice however was careful to point out that the report was not given high priority by the CIA, explaining that it was “historical information based on old reporting… there was no new threat information.”

The hearing became heated at several junctures, as Democratic members of the commission pressed Rice for more details about the report, and why greater significance was not placed upon it. Questions are currently rampant about the accuracy of the report, with the F.B.I. specifically saying that it overstates the level that their counterterrorism efforts were at prior to September 11th. Dr. Rice, however, suggested in her testimony that the F.B.I. was already at a state of special alert, in order to prevent the occurrence of an imminent terrorist strike on United States soil.

Speaking Thursday, she explained that "The F.B.I. was pursuing these Al Qaeda cells... I believe in the Aug. 6 memorandum it says there were 70 full-field investigations under way of these cells. And so there was no recommendation that we do something about this. The F.B.I was pursuing it."

Former President Bill Clinton also testified on Thursday, with the record of his questioning remaining sealed. The commission released a statement saying that Clinton was “forthcoming and responsive” with regards to questions about what his administration did to prevent possible acts of terrorism.

In testifying, Dr. Rice directly addressed the claims of former counterterrorism chief, Richard Clarke, who had made a series of public claims that the Bush administration completely ignored the threat of terrorist attacks, and instead wanted to focus its energies on what was then still a potential conflict with Iraq.

The White House, in response to calls from the commission to declassify the contents of the report, did so on Saturday, and it largely corroborates what Dr. Rice said during her testimony. The report is vague on details of exactly what the F.B.I. was doing outside the number of investigations however. It is only a page and a half long, and contains no details about the planning of an attack other than mentioning Osama Bin Laden’s name.

Meanwhile, Democrats have begun attacking the president in earnest for what they perceive as his failure to take the threat more seriously. Speaking of the president’s habit of often taking long vacations, Democratic Senator John Rockefeller IV, of West Virginia, said Thursday that "President Bush received the now-famous [report] on Aug. 6, while he was on vacation in Texas, yet he did not return to Washington until Aug. 30.” Rockefeller is the ranking Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee.

Regarding Mr. Clarke, who has been the target of an intense White House effort to undermine his credibility, Dr. Rice was far more charitable than other administration officials. "Dick Clarke is a very, very fine counterterrorism expert, and that's why I kept him on," she said. "What I wanted Dick Clarke to do was to manage the crises for us and help us develop a new strategy."

At the same time as defending Clarke however, Dr, Rice also refuted Clarke’s claims that he was something of an ignored lone voice calling for a greater emphasis on counterterrorism efforts. "All he needed to do was to say, `I need time to brief the president on something,' " she said. "But Dick Clarke never asked me to brief the president on counterterrorism."

As for any blame for the September 11th attacks, Rice explained that the intelligence failures were the result of the failures of previous administrations, and that the current president could not be held responsible for the failures of his predecessors.

What remains to be seen, however, is the effectiveness of the Rice defense of the administration’s handling of the threat posed by Al Qaeda and other terrorist groups. Rice spoke eloquently, calling upon a great deal of classic rhetoric. Whether the public will see her testimony as evasive or satisfactory is exceptionally difficult to judge, but early polling results from CBS news would seem to indicate that little was accomplished for the Bush administration’s case by the Rice testimony.

Six in ten respondents to the CBS news poll said they believed that the administration had not done all it could to prevent the terror attacks, and two thirds said they believed the administration was concealing facts from the public. What these polling results mean, of course, is the subject of much debate, as the president’s approval rating has been high overall in spite of such polling in the past.

If the polling noted above is accurate, and if the president’s ratings do not take an unexpected dip, then this will go down as another in a series of events which suggests that Bush’s approval ratings remain largely unchanged despite repeated attacks. We witnessed a similar effect, albeit at a higher approval level, in the Clinton administration, as approval ratings remained high in the face of scandal after scandal.

With that in mind, it seems increasingly clear that, for whatever reason, this administration is also largely impervious to such assaults. The old Clinton moniker, “It’s the economy, stupid” is proving itself once again to be a more accurate gauge of public opinion than perhaps any other. The U.S. economy added 308,000 new jobs in March, a very healthy, if not historic figure, and the failure of this most recent attack on Bush to stick would seem to reflect that.


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