Monday, April 19, 2004

Israel Gets Endorsement from U.S. To Do Anything
All Palestinians Get is This Lousy T-shirt
NEWS ANALYSIS by Ian Schwartz

In a stunning shift of U.S. policy, President Bush on Wednesday gave his enthusiastic endorsement to Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's controversial plan to retain some West Bank settlements under a future peace accord with the Palestinians.

The president also sided with the Israelis on "right of return," denying Palestinian refugees the right to return to the Arab land seized by Israel during the 1967 Six-Day War. While Bush says the plan will go a long way toward building an independent Palestinian state and Sharon is delighted with Bush's approval—without which he stood small chance of winning the disengagement vote in May—the other side of the deadly, long-running dispute strongly denounced the plan.

Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat called Bush's intervention "the complete end of the peace process." Other angry Palestinian officials appeared to dismiss the new American stance, claiming that Israel must deal directly with Palestinian leadership to forge a peace accord.

Under Sharon's plan, Israel would pull out all 7,500 Jewish settlers and troops from the bitterly contested Gaza Strip and all but six blocs of Jewish settlements from the West Bank, leaving about 92,000 of the 240,000 Jews currently residing there. The withdrawal, or "disengagement," would be complete sometime in 2005, which is when the so-called "road map" plan calls for an establishment of an independent Palestine.

The road map plan, favored by the U.S., the United Nations, the European Union and Russia, is a step-by-step process that would end the fighting and culminate in an independent Palestine.

Bush's endorsement of Sharon’s plan is in direct contradiction of his predecessors, including his father. Former president Jimmy Carter, who coincidentally brokered the accord that ended hostilities between Israel and Egypt in the 1970s, called the disputed Jewish settlements illegal. So did the elder Bush during his presidency, according to Palestinian Cabinet Minister Saeb Erekat. The minister said that the senior Bush sent secretary of state James Baker to the Middle East in 1991 with a letter assuring that the settlements were illegal.

But the current Bush has rarely stood on ceremony or honored tradition. Nor does he shy away from taking a proactive approach to a dispute that has plagued the world for more than half a century. The situation between Israel and its Arab neighbors has been a stagnant, tit for tat struggle for years, with only ephemeral progress toward peace.

Although done in his usual scorched-earth diplomatic style, Bush's endorsement of the plan, which he termed "historic and courageous," shakes up and adds worldwide legitimacy to a process that, for decades, has been bogged down in vitriol and rhetoric.

Bush's approval of the plan sets several wheels to spinning, all of which could eventually result in at least a tenuous peace in the hotly contested area. First and foremost, Sharon must be able to push the vote through next month—still not a given. Israeli leadership has been historically reluctant to give up hard-won inches of desert. Paradoxically, Palestinian terrorists may launch an offensive in an attempt to anger voters into opting against a pullout.

But if Sharon can get the job done in the face of heavy opposition, and forces and settlers pull up stakes from Gaza and the West Bank, it would be hard for Palestinians to garner much support in the court of world opinion if they continue to fight. So while Bush's endorsement might, on paper, appear to be a push for an impossible, one-sided peace, it could in effect force both sides to lay down arms.

Sharon has made it quite clear that he is not looking for the Palestinians to come to the bargaining table. He has laid out his plan for his country’s security, and that is that. "I do not know what we would have to talk about," he said, referring to a sit-down with the Palestinians.

The former general was elated at Bush's concession that a final peace deal provides for Palestinian refugees to be resettled in a Palestinian state. Palestinians claim that thousands of its citizens are families or the descendents of families evicted by Israel upon creation of the Jewish state 57 years ago. Also included in that category are those whose homes have been lost as a result of ground won by Israel in battle. Bush failed to acknowledge their claims, stating that "realities on the ground and in the region have changed greatly." With those words, he became the first U.S. president to cede even a portion of the disputed territory to Israel.

The peace process will not be helped by the fact that some of Sharon's concessions to the Arabs are somewhat ambiguous. The security fence which Israel is building to deter Palestinian attacks, a project that has drawn international ire, will be temporary, Sharon said, but gave no timeline for its dismantling. He also said he would limit the growth of Jewish settlements, a rather vague statement.

But the key concession is the momentous disengagement, which sends a definite message to the international community that Sharon and Israel are looking for an egress from the seemingly endless border war with Palestine. While a real dispute still remains over Jerusalem, which the Palestinians will surely want to be included in the formulation of an independent state, the handing over of Gaza and large portions of the West Bank would be an unprecedented move toward peace.

What remains to be seen is how Palestine leaders will handle Bush making concessions on their behalf. If they truly want peace—an honorable peace resulting from bold thinking, then they'll get past his impetuousness. If not, then the deadly dispute will continue with no end in sight.


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