Monday, June 14, 2004

The Mentor
NEWS ANALYSIS by Kevin McNeill

Much has been made of the fact that President George W. Bush strains to emulate the presidency of Ronald Reagan rather than his father’s. Now that President Reagan has been laid to rest, the countless eulogies have been made, and Bush’s first term draws to a close, it may be worthwhile to check on how well the President is measuring up to his idol.

First and foremost, Reagan’s main approach towards the presidency was that one must be daring to achieve a lasting legacy. He believed strongly that the President was obligated to use all the powers the office bestowed on him to fundamentally transform the nation and the world, no matter how much those actions offend the status quo. In short, Ronald Reagan believed that a President must take great risks to achieve great things, that one must strive to do what many think cannot be done, so the American people become even more optimistic about what could be done next. President George W. Bush clearly has subscribed to this principle, and the consequences, as it was with his mentor, have been significant.

In 2000, Bush did what few Republicans have ever dared – he touched the mighty Third Rail of American politics and proposed partial privatization of Social Security. Four years later those reforms have yet to come to pass, but the fact that he introduced them to the public during an election, rather than after it, showed he was serious about making big changes in government. His first term did, however, bring about the most sweeping education reform in 40 years, the most far reaching tax cuts in history, a new Homeland Security Department, renewal of “fast track” trade authority, and with it promises to expand NAFTA to the entire Western Hemisphere. His presidency also produced other bold reforms that were far from the top of his agenda – in fact probably not on his agenda at all - such as the passage of McCain-Feingold and the Corporate Accountability Act.

Abroad, President Bush has been even more daring, much as Reagan’s foreign policy strived to be. Upon taking office, Reagan set out not to contain Communism – as was the status quo for the previous 35 years – but to defeat it. He called the Soviet Union the “evil empire,” deployed Pershing missiles in Europe, engaged America in a costly nuclear arms race with the Soviets, exhorted Gorbachev to tear down the Berlin Wall, and openly supported anti-Communist rebels in Latin America. For eight years, he stubbornly stayed this course in the face of countless scathing editorials, public denunciations (including from his own daughter), and waves of protests and demonstrations around the globe. Reagan was resolute, for one simple reason: He believed he was right, and that history would vindicate him. He was and it did.

President George W. Bush knows this lesson all too well. After campaigning in 2000 that he would not engage in “nation building,” Bush completely changed his worldview, and his presidency, after September 11th 2001.

President Bush is now actively building not one, but two nations. He has used American military might to forcibly remove Saddam Hussein and the Taliban from power, and is striving to implement a Western style Democracy on a region thousands of miles away that has known nothing but tyranny, oppression and poverty for thousands of years.

More importantly, he implemented a transformational policy of “pre-emption,” which states that, due to the spread of weapons of mass destruction, America has an obligation to go to war against nations before they become a threat. The status quo has long held that one does not attack unless they have been attacked, and that pre-emption constitutes nothing more than aggression. Like Reagan, Bush rejected the status quo. His blunt language, such as using phrases like “axis of evil” and “shock and awe” have led to a chorus of condemnations from editorial boards and intellectuals around the world. His use of force against Iraq has instigated some of the largest mass demonstrations and protests in history. Reagan would be proud.

President Bush believes strongly that Democracy can take hold in the Middle East, and spread throughout the Arab world, giving the people freedom they have never known. He has faith that this would bring a new appreciation for the United States, and with it a rejection of radical Islamic teachings against the West. He has bet his legacy on it.

If history proves him right, President Bush will be remembered as one of the most significant presidents of the 21st century. If history proves him wrong, his presidency will be remembered as one of almost total failure, one that made the world a far more dangerous place. Either way, Ronald Reagan’s stubbornness and boldness will be well recognized in this President.

There are many more similarities, some nearly as significant. Both Reagan and Bush held true to supply-side economics, which states that cutting taxes creates more revenue through job growth, and that by also cutting spending the American people can have balanced budgets and lower taxes. Both succeeded in passing huge tax cuts. Both saw economic benefits from those tax cuts, and increased tax revenue. And of course, both failed miserably at controlling government spending – leading to huge deficits. Reagan claimed the latter was his biggest disappointment upon leaving office.

However, Reagan had to contend with large Democratic majorities in the House for his entire Presidency – leading to compromises that increased domestic spending in exchange for increased defense spending. Bush has had a Republican Congress for most of his first term, yet has been unable to keep his own party from huge spending increases – even in the wake of recession and war. This may prove to be President Bush’s greatest disappointment upon leaving office as well.

Both presidents have been remarkably underestimated by their opponents – and both seemed to relish the role. Reagan was famously called an “amiable dunce.” Bush’s antagonists are not as kind, referring to him as a “chimp” and a moron. Both are often derided as cowboys with simple minds. Even in the wake of great political success - such as Reagan’s two landslide elections, or Bush’s first midterm election - and legislative accomplishments, their opponents point to luck or Democratic incompetence before giving either President any credit.

Yet neither ever once tried to argue that they were indeed much smarter than their opponents portrayed them – choosing instead to use this as an advantage. In the presidential debates of 1980 and 2000, for example, both men proved quite adept at not only lowering expectations of themselves, but far exceeding them. Their performances in these debates in large measure helped get them to the White House.

Both entered politics late in life, due mostly because they had no interest in it until that point. Reagan was 54 years old when he first became Governor of California. That is roughly the same age Bill Clinton was when he left the White House after two terms as president. George W. Bush was 48 when he became Governor of Texas, although he did run unsuccessfully for Congress in 1978. Still, many in Texas believe that had Bud Selig not double-crossed him in 1990 and taken the job for himself, we’d be calling him “Commissioner Bush” today instead of President.

Of course, there are several differences between the two Presidents as well. For example, Bush is a member of one of the most prominent political families in America. His father was a President, his Grandfather a Senator. Reagan’s father was poor and an alcoholic. Bush holds degrees from Yale and Harvard. Reagan graduated from Eureka College. In this sense, Bush has more in common with John F. Kennedy (son of the legendary Joseph Kennedy), whereas Reagan’s more humble beginnings could be compared to Bill Clinton or Richard Nixon.

Still, the similarities are striking. President Bush clearly emulates the man his father served as Vice President for eight years – both in conservative principles and concepts of leadership. He can only hope that he can emulate Reagan’s legacy as well.


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